我们活在一个虚拟的世界

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最近参加巴黎VivaTech VIP晚宴时,我谈到了这个话题。在这个阳光明媚的周日,我决定把它写下来。我认为,我们活在一个虚拟的世界。

为什么说我们活在一个虚拟的世界?

40年前,我生活在一个没有自来水、没有电的村庄里。我们要从200米开外的井里打水,夜晚则在煤油灯下写作业。几年后,院子里终于装上了水泵,生活条件改善了许多。再过一年,就有了自来水。村里刚通上电时,每天只供电数小时,但很快就能全天用电了。现在,我们又有了手机、互联网、区块链。

技术的发展是如此迅速,想象一下20年后,《黑客帝国》里的那种技术是否真的会出现,让我们脑袋连上一根线就能进入一个模拟的真实世界?非常有可能。

如果20年太近,那么50年呢?100年呢?这样的技术一定会成为现实,只是时间问题而已。保守一点估计,我们暂且假设500年后,有一种技术能够模拟出我们想看到、感受到、体验到的任何事物。

一旦这样的技术诞生,它就一定会得到应用,而且应用范围会越来越广泛。 

以任天堂游戏为例。先是有了这个游戏,才出现了数百万的玩家。其实那也是一种虚拟的世界,随着超级马里奥的前进和后退,各种场景也将被模拟出来。

如今,当我在游戏里看见面前有一道墙,我不知道墙后面有什么。拐一个弯,墙背后的东西就模拟出来了。这是可以做到的。

假设你已经200岁,临近生命终点,有不少闲钱。现在有个机会,只需花一个小时就可以重新再活200年,你愿意买下这个机会吗?我想你一定会。

当我们有能力做到一件事,我们就一定会做这件事。而我所指的“我们”可能是几十亿人。(而且世界人口还在增长)

未来,我们生活在一个虚拟世界的可能性有多大?也许反过来问更容易回答——未来我们还可能生活在一个没有模拟的世界吗?假设模拟世界技术已经成熟,那么后一个问题的概率几乎是数十亿分之一,最高也只是0.000001。从数学上讲,如果我们四舍五入到3-5位有效数字,那么这一概率可以视为0%。

那么,500年很遥远吗?我们的宇宙已经存在了138亿年,如果四舍五入到5位有效数字,500年与之相比也只不过是弹指一瞬间。

也就是说,我们不生活在虚拟世界的概率为0%,那么可以得出结论,我们未来一定会生活在一个虚拟世界。

这是否意味着,生命是无意义的?

并非如此。生命依然很有意义。

我们还不知道我们将生活在怎样的虚拟世界中。

也许,在那个世界里我们模拟自己,也就是说获得了死而复生的能力。这样当然最好。

又或者,我们生活在一个周围的一切,包括我们的朋友、这篇文章在内,都是虚拟的世界。

又或者,还有群组模拟功能,就像《盗梦空间》一样,一群朋友进入同一个梦里生活。当我们醒来,就又回到现实世界。

又或者,人类自身也只是更高维度生物操控的模拟物而已,就像我们操控超级马里奥一样。超级马里奥死了,游戏可以再来一盘,下一个人物也许不会是他了,他直接从这个世界上消失了。在这种情况下,我们如果死了,也会直接消失,我们无法主动与我们的操纵者取得联系,只有他们能联系我们。这样一来,鬼怪、天神等超自然现象也都得到了解释。也许就是我们的操纵者正在与我们互动呢。

这些都不重要,重要的是我们如何创造出我们最想要的那个虚拟世界。毕竟,我们不想白白来这世上走一遭。

模拟世界帮我们解除压力

当我们知道自己生活在一个虚拟世界里,很多生活压力就自然消失了。

在一个虚拟世界里,有很多设定好的挑战是不可避免的,也有一些随机事件。但我们不知道这些事件中哪些是不可避免的,哪些是偶然的。不过这不重要。我们只需尽自己的能力就可以了。生活还是要努力过。但这么一想,仿佛肩上的重担就卸下了。每次面对新挑战,我们都会告诉自己,我们生活在虚拟世界,只需要尽力就可以了。

我的团队深知这一点。所以,每次面对挑战,总是说“嘿,这只是个游戏。”这样的想法非常解压。我大概是从2015年开始有这样的想法的。

努力工作,努力生活,但不要过分严肃,希望大家都能在虚拟世界活出最好的自己。

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